Match preview
Switzerland are clear favourites on ratings, with the model at 65%. Only a poor recent run (four-from-five) gives Bosnia & Herzegovina a way in.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Switzerland are favourites (65%)
- Switzerland carry the higher Elo rating (+219 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Switzerland unbeaten and winning in their last five (3W 2D)
- Bosnia & Herzegovina mixed recent form (1W 2D 2L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 65% / 16% / 19% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Switzerland are expected to control possession and territory, while Bosnia & Herzegovina will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks. An early Switzerland goal would force Bosnia & Herzegovina to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Switzerland 2 · Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.6
Quick stats
Switzerland — last 5
- Dv Colombia0–0
- Wv Algeria2–0
- Wv Canada2–1
- Wv Bosnia & Herzegovina4–1
- D@ Qatar1–1
Bosnia & Herzegovina — last 5
- L@ USA0–2
- Wv Qatar3–1
- L@ Switzerland1–4
- D@ Canada1–1
- D@ Panama1–1
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1G. Kobel G
- 3S. Widmer D
- 4N. Elvedi D
- 5M. Akanji D
- 13R. Rodriguez D
- 20M. Aebischer M
- 10G. Xhaka M
- 8R. Freuler M
- 22F. Rieder M
- 7B. Embolo F
- 11D. Ndoye F
- 1N. Vasilj G
- 7A. Dedic D
- 18N. Katic D
- 4T. Muharemovic D
- 5S. Kolasinac D
- 15A. Memic M
- 6B. Tahirovic M
- 14I. Sunjic M
- 19K. Alajbegovic M
- 10E. Demirovic F
- 11E. Dzeko F
Key matchups
Switzerland's focal point in attack against the heart of Bosnia & Herzegovina's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Bosnia & Herzegovina's main outlet — how Switzerland's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.