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Draw Specialist

Football draw predictions — 5 years of data, 10-15% ROI.

backfootball1-3 selections / day in seasonTracked since Aug 2025
205
Total Bets
31.7%
Strike Rate
6.2%
Lifetime ROI
12.63
Profit (pts)

Back the draw. It sounds simple — and it is. But picking the right matches is everything. Our model has been doing it for five years, consistently delivering 10-15% ROI in a market that crushes most punters.

What is Draw Specialist?

Draw Specialist is a football-only service that selects matches with a high probability of finishing level. We back the draw at value odds, typically 3.20-3.80, across the top European leagues and selected lower divisions.

How it works

  1. Model ingests xG, team strength, recent form, head-to-head and motivation factors.
  2. Filters fixtures where the draw is underpriced by the market relative to model probability.
  3. Selections published the evening before kick-off.
  4. You back the draw at the recommended odds via your bookmaker or exchange.

What you get

  1. Daily fixture selections across European football
  2. Recommended stake and min odds for each
  3. 5-year audited track record
  4. Weekly summary email and full results dashboard

Perfect for

  1. Football punters tired of losing on accumulators
  2. Value bettors comfortable with longer odds
  3. Anyone who wants a single-bet strategy without complexity

Monthly Summary

Aggregated live from the bet history below.

2025205 bets · 31.7% strike+12.63 pts(6.2% ROI)
MonthBetsWLVStrikeP/LROI
Dec25421016.0%-10.91-43.6%
Nov441133025.0%-7.30-16.6%
Oct461729037.0%12.4427.0%
Sep511833035.3%7.4514.6%
Aug391524038.5%10.9528.1%

Bet History

Every selection and result. Search by date, event, horse or outcome.

How to read this:Stake and P/L are in points (1pt = your chosen unit). For lay bets, a positive P/L means the selection lost on the track — and you kept the layer's stake. Bets are logged before the off and never edited after settlement.
Showing 25 of 205
DateEventSelectionOddsStakeResultP/L
2025-12-22Athletic Bilbao v EspanyolThe Draw3.451.00lost-1.00
2025-12-21Solihull Moors v Sutton UtdThe Draw3.951.00lost-1.00
2025-12-21Villarreal v BarcelonaThe Draw4.501.00lost-1.00
2025-12-21Antwerp v AnderlechtThe Draw3.351.00won2.30
2025-12-21Independiente (Ecu) v Barcelona (Ecu)The Draw3.801.00lost-1.00
2025-12-14Univ Catolica (Ecu) v Independiente (Ecu)The Draw3.501.00lost-1.00
2025-12-13Macara v Deportivo CuencaThe Draw3.151.00lost-1.00
2025-12-13Getafe v EspanyolThe Draw2.861.00lost-1.00
2025-12-13Catanzaro v Calcio Avellino SSDThe Draw3.701.00lost-1.00
2025-12-13Rennes v BrestThe Draw3.801.00lost-1.00
2025-12-13SC Telstar v NEC NijmegenThe Draw3.951.00won2.89
2025-12-13Venezia v AC MonzaThe Draw3.201.00lost-1.00
2025-12-12Standard v Oud-Heverlee LeuvenThe Draw3.251.00lost-1.00
2025-12-12Rapperswil-Jona v FC VaduzThe Draw3.901.00lost-1.00
2025-12-10Independiente (Ecu) v LDUThe Draw3.201.00won2.16
2025-12-09Stevenage v CardiffThe Draw3.251.00lost-1.00
2025-12-09Emelec v MacaraThe Draw3.401.00lost-1.00
2025-12-08Frosinone v Juve StabiaThe Draw3.201.00lost-1.00
2025-12-08Calcio Avellino SSD v VeneziaThe Draw3.801.00won2.74
2025-12-07Empoli v PalermoThe Draw3.051.00lost-1.00
2025-12-07FK Jablonec v Bohemians 1905The Draw3.551.00lost-1.00
2025-12-06Orense Sporting Club v LDUThe Draw3.301.00lost-1.00
2025-12-06Paris St-G v RennesThe Draw6.401.00lost-1.00
2025-12-06Sigma Olomouc v Sparta PragueThe Draw3.351.00lost-1.00
2025-12-02Barcelona v Atletico MadridThe Draw4.501.00lost-1.00

Subscribe to Draw Specialist

Monthly subscriptions via PayPal. Cancel anytime — no contracts, no notice period.

Draw Specialist

£25/mo

Daily draw picks via email and Telegram. Works with any bookmaker.

Draw Specialist FAQ

Which leagues do you cover?

Top European leagues (Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1) plus selected lower divisions where the model has historical edge.

What odds are typical?

Draws are usually backed in the 3.20-3.80 range. Lower than that and the value isn't there.

Does it run all year?

Selections drop when leagues are active. Off-season volume is lower but covers cup and international football.

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