Group H

Live standings, every fixture and our model verdict on each match.

Spain turn up as European champions with the deepest midfield pool in the world and Lamine Yamal, who turns 19 mid-tournament and is already the player everyone pays to watch. Rodri is fit again. The model has them second only to Argentina; plenty of sharp judges have them first.

Uruguay are the opposite animal. Bielsa has them pressing like lunatics and they'll beat anyone on the right night, then lose 2-1 to a deep block the week after. Spain v Uruguay on the final matchday could decide top spot and reshape half the bracket. Cape Verde's first World Cup is a lovely story. Saudi Arabia will always have Lusail.

Verdict: Spain and Uruguay, order settled on matchday three.